Raising Taxes During a Fiscal Crisis

George Skelton spends much of his column today rejecting the comparison Arnold has been trying to make between himself and FDR, while I wholeheartedly agree with Skelton on the preposterousness of the comparison, I would like to focus on the elected officials who match up more closely with our governor. LAT:

The historical figure that Schwarzenegger should be trying to emulate is Ronald Reagan, a fiscal conservative but pragmatist.

I know, I know, but bear with Skelton.

To plug a huge deficit his first year as governor in 1967, Reagan raised taxes by a then-record $1 billion. He never had to worry about red ink again. Back then, the total budget was only $5 billion. The budget Schwarzenegger just proposed hit $141 billion, even with 10% across-the-board cuts.

We are only short about $15 billion, way less of a percentage of the total budget than what Reagan increased revenue by during his tenure. There are other Republicans that Arnold should be comparing himself to.

A more recent role model for Schwarzenegger should be his political mentor, Pete Wilson. In 1991, the new governor faced a $14-billion hole in a $43-billion general fund. (Schwarzenegger's proposed general fund is $101 billion.)

Wilson raised taxes by a staggering $7 billion -- on income, sales, cars, liquor, candy. Name it. Then he filled the rest of the gap with cuts and magicians' tools.

Schwarzenegger's draconian plan "is a wake-up call for the public," says Assembly Budget Committee Chairman John Laird (D-Santa Cruz). "This is reality. If you don't like it, what's your alternative?"

The alternative is raising taxes, because the cuts are flatly unacceptable.

Pitney says: "I don't think taxes are avoidable."

Schwarzenegger still thinks they are. Or so he says. I believe him -- believe that he's living in denial.

The governor should think hard about who he is and how he wants to be remembered. I doubt it's reflected in the budget that bears little resemblance to the statesmanlike policies of Reagan and Wilson -- let alone FDR's New Deal.

We shall see if the insider calculation that Arnold is doing this just to raise support for taxes or not is true. In general, I think Skelton has this right. Arnold rarely thinks three steps ahead, so it is hard to believe that he has planned this out as a major scheme, then again I don't really believe he wants to drown the government in a bathtub. It just doesn't make good photo-ops.

Nailed it

Both you and Skelton. New revenue is the only way out of this.

I've been thinking about that "insider calculation" you mentioned. It might explain why so many Orange County beaches are slated for closure (people there will FREAK out about that). And it backs people like Jeff Denham and Abel Maldonado up against a wall rather nicely.

But even if Arnold was thinking that far ahead - and like you I doubt he has the interest to do so - that still requires us to actually help mobilize a counter-response. It shouldn't be up to Republican voters and Republican legislators to lead us out of this mess.